The Titans defeated the Falcons, while the Steelers lost to the Jaguars. How're you betting this game?

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[{"selector":"#anim-7b8d3d33-cff3-4b1f-aa41-aaefdb3274ff [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-c9038124-7937-4244-b880-5f8e9b2e15d1","keyframes":[{"offset":0,"transform":"translate3d(0, -353.27481%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(.5, 0, 1, 1)"},{"offset":0.29,"transform":"translate3d(0, 0%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(0, 0, .5, 1)"},{"offset":0.45,"transform":"translate3d(0, -99.340876572%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(.5, 0, 1, 1)"},{"offset":0.61,"transform":"translate3d(0, 0%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(0, 0, .5, 1)"},{"offset":0.71,"transform":"translate3d(0, -33.773071836%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(.5, 0, 1, 1)"},{"offset":0.8,"transform":"translate3d(0, 0%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(0, 0, .5, 1)"},{"offset":0.85,"transform":"translate3d(0, -12.682565679000001%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(.5, 0, 1, 1)"},{"offset":0.92,"transform":"translate3d(0, 0%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(0, 0, .5, 1)"},{"offset":0.96,"transform":"translate3d(0, -5.511087036%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(.5, 0, 1, 1)"},{"offset":1,"transform":"translate3d(0, 0%, 0)","easing":"cubic-bezier(0, 0, .5, 1)"}],"delay":0,"duration":600,"fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-25f67a51-fe15-49a7-8345-ab66d151df99","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-0466c134-7904-43bc-895b-abf634dcf6a1","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-185.71434%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Will Levis' home NFL debut was amazing. First away game in tough Pittsburgh. I want Steelers -2.5 to win and cover after losing. Steelers' QB is unknown, but Titans' pass defense is beatable. Levis should stay strong following his great start against Mike Vrabel and Mike Tomlin in a low-scoring game.

Expect the Steelers to beat a road-debuting rookie quarterback at home. This two-week Falcons home preparation differs from going to face the Steelers defense. Tennessee is 0-6 SU in six road games, while Steelers are 8-3 ATS in 11. Three clubs are tied for second in the AFC North, so this game matters! Both defenses are formidable, but offenses struggle. Unders are above 70% in primetime this season.

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His deep bombs to DeAndre Hopkins were impressive, and we knew he possessed arm strength. Levis' value was mostly in his four touchdown throws.

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[{"selector":"#anim-79ea9fd0-1e3c-44dd-9986-ddbb20b30afb","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-91d18c7b-53f7-4522-adde-81609d1c8407","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-232e90d0-e284-4772-b2f2-99f10905dc36","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-115.68628%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-681ddabb-376a-4694-8c87-7237f447fef9","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-b2ceb1e4-a196-4d1f-8496-7dd119830369","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.15)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-cd3e4bf9-8cc0-4dd6-9b44-c8f7453d4cf7 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-14.841883248302473%, 0, 0) translate(-25%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate3d(0%, 0, 0) translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"fill":"forwards"}] Atlanta, one of the league's lesser pass defenses, limited him just 29% pass success. I don't feel much different about the Titans because I don't want to exaggerate a game. They were ordinary with Ryan Tannehill at quarterback and are with Levis. Curved Arrow

[{"selector":"#anim-5131463d-7e4c-4c52-9acc-31b3d5b51c58 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-5.931528395014613%, 0, 0) translate(-25%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate3d(0%, 0, 0) translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-32739572-aab7-4bac-ad36-f35c799882c1","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-115.68628%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-3f41e369-78b7-48ea-8d75-619cf4751d60","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-f8ec383b-c8a7-4a0e-9a65-3c5e6437dfba","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.15)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-0ffce7a1-1fc0-4e57-8dd1-26012bda81e4","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-4eadbbce-ce93-427c-adcf-aa8054efac76","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] Not yet. When they dealt All-Pro safety Kevin Byard to the Eagles, the Titans hinted to their inevitable season conclusion. This team is selling to retool. Levis is part of tha t, and these games will give him significant experience in his first season, but this AFC club is not playoff-caliber. Curved Arrow

[{"selector":"#anim-2dd088b3-8fc1-4f34-ad59-cb15301733c4","keyframes":{"transform":["rotate(-165deg) translate3d(203.70373%, 0px, 0) rotate(165deg)","rotate(-165deg) translate3d(0px, 0px, 0) rotate(165deg)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ffe36128-108e-424c-9223-1d3655128456","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-b65d260b-b37e-44e6-abd5-7bf212041507","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.15)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-2c0e3755-70b1-4eba-a7a9-5938a64110c5","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(1)","scale(1.5)","scale(0.95)","scale(1)"],"offset":[0,0.33,0.66,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1450,"easing":"ease-in-out","fill":"both","iterations":1}] [{"selector":"#anim-348199dc-f087-446a-affe-0e5f2fc380dd [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(3.159132288866457e-7%, 0, 0)","translate3d(0%, 0, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] Intrigues me. The Steelers have poor pass defense, Hopkins had 128 yards last week, and the Titans are road underdogs in a throw-heavy game. Hopkins' six targets versus Atlanta reduced his effectiveness. More tha n veterans, rookie QBs lock on the team's top pass-catcher in route progressions. Curved Arrow

[{"selector":"#anim-59a6e33b-295f-45b3-a75e-bba7bb79a731","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-c74443c5-1345-45cd-b76b-999879b0daa0","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 133.74872%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e92a8ed1-fe79-4aa9-8850-098db5ac0b39","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-79d6e9aa-c74c-44ff-a88a-3b7c44c5f949","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] Well-guessed. Levis reportedly caught 77.6 Falcons yards. Titans' Turron Davenport of ESPN says NFL Fantasy Fallout may benefit pass catchers. "Expect that trend to continue." "Offensive coordinator Tim Kelly has also shown a tendency to call plays with Hopkins as the first option and is willing to move him around the formation to create favorable matchups." Today Hopkins may gain 51.5 yards.

[{"selector":"#anim-dbf605dc-d77b-4e2d-b0ec-c0f1ec5cc784","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-5c2607b6-ff80-4166-a6e4-860c435135bd","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-020efbc5-f669-4b2f-b5f5-566d8d91021c","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-76bd993d-e16c-4e36-9e51-0f1ee4995e9f","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 155.18272%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Diontae Johnson is Pittsburgh's top short-pass target again. Against top wide receivers, the Titans rank 32nd in DVOA and 31st on short throws. I'll take Diontae Johnson OVER 4.5 catches since I like his reception prop over his yardage prop.

[{"selector":"#anim-a3f2fb70-4736-47e4-8c52-d61304f938de","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-fe48a8c2-0fbc-4db5-b847-29c7264a1d2c","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-6d283f5f-e830-4e23-9fb7-c4f89081d31a","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-7b2674db-2018-48a9-9f27-c9f35bd6ef0b","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 192.41000%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] The Steelers are favored in this game, so they're less likely to face a huge lead and constant running. This should reduce linebacker Holcomb's tackle possibilities. My model pre dicts 6.8 tackles + assists.

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